You must consider a few developments in regard to Inflation, interest rate hikes, war and economic stagflation. Where is the economy heading and why do I short the Russel 1000. There are a few datasets I am following and a few political events. I wont put this all into one
Read MoreGDP Estimate for the US corrected to 5.1% for Q4, 2021. My estimate for the GDP is 20,662 Trillion Dollars. This would be an astronomical 6.07% growth in the last quarter of 2021! According to GDP NOW the GDP number might come out lower at 19.725 Trillion Dollars. Either way,
Read MoreGDP further deteriorating
Read MoreWith an estimated GDP growth of only 0.5% for Q3 21 it tells me that the Bull Market is coming to an end. My Flags going on “Stay Flat” Yellow!! This would be a catastrophic drop of -3.7% from Q2. #Stagflation #GDP #Options Maybe it is time to Buy some
Read MoreWith the collection of data from the Atlanta FEDs we see a rapidly deteriorating US economy. The GDP forecast dropped from 6.1 annualized GDP growth to 1.3!! This is a major concerning development. If we take the formula of GDP = Money Supply x Velocity of Circulation we receive a
Read MoreThe Federal Reserve raised interest rates four times this year (2018). Earlier this month, December 19th, at the Fed’s last meeting of 2018, Chairman Jerome Powell signaled that the central bank’s board of governors would likely issue fewer rate hikes next year, but investors were not appeased and the Dow
Read MoreIf you havent read the blog before do it now before trying to understand any of the following. Read Theory and Resources first. Basic Trade Characteristics to consider A Bear Call Credit Spread is a trade that consist of two trades. One short call and one long call. We sell a Call for
Read MoreIf you havent read the previous article yet you should do this before reading this one. Only if you understand the first article you will understand this setup here. Economic Sentiment and Chaos There should be three conditions for any trade in this environment. The risk of an huge market
Read MorePreface I was thinking a lot about this what I am going to lay out here. I have done it in the past but also differently. What am I talking about? The question is how to continue trading with the feel that the market will have a huge pullback coming
Read MoreIs DOOMS DAY approaching when the 10 Year Yield reaches 2.2% and Commercial and Industrial Loans pass over the peak of April 2020 at 1,600 Billion Dollar? Interest Hikes will default companies that are heavily invested in Long Term Debt and having a Current Ratio of less than 1. This
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