I am still testing my Excel Spread sheet. BUT hey, so far so good. Basic thoughts on Statistics With calculating expected moves on a stock by calculating the mean profits per day for a certain term we know where we expect the price to be based on history. Now you
Read MoreWorking with weekly charts I love the IWM. Why is that? Because it has not moved much in over a year as we can see in the black line in the image. It is also said that the IWM is a leading indicator and shows the way of the SPX
Read MoreGDP Estimate for the US corrected to 5.1% for Q4, 2021. My estimate for the GDP is 20,662 Trillion Dollars. This would be an astronomical 6.07% growth in the last quarter of 2021! According to GDP NOW the GDP number might come out lower at 19.725 Trillion Dollars. Either way,
Read MoreDerived from the amount of OPEN INTERESTS multiplied with 100 shares per contract times mid price gives us a good estimate what money is at stake and where the Market Maker will make the most money.
Read MoreAn update on IWM Call Spread. IWM reaches the frontline of defense threatening a breakthrough the all time high it reached in the beginning of March 2021 where it topped out at 234.53. Now what? Will it retread or advance?
Read MoreI was waiting for my two candles since Monday but the underlaying took a small retraction. Today on Thursday we saw a bullish engulfing. It was rejected at the 229-230 Resistance level. An area with over 100,000 Call and 50,000 Put options. If this level is broken the MM will
Read MoreMake sure that you understand all three previous blogs. They are fundamentally important to this trading tactics. bear-call-credit-spread-histogram-3_20 Additions I introduced the True Average and the Average True Range, ATR, into the equation. To calculate the True Range is easy, please look it up on the web. For EVERYTHING you
Read More