Will GDP be negative by the end of 2021?
The US Economy is deteriorating further. Now GDP estimates reach 0.2%!!! While the Bank of Canada cuts QE to damp inflation, Jerome Powell seems to be in inflation denial. What will he do?
Latest estimate: 0.2 percent — October 27, 2021
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2021 is 0.2 percent on October 27, down from 0.5 percent on October 19. After the October 19 GDPNow update and subsequent releases from the US Census Bureau, the National Association of Realtors, and the US Department of the Treasury’s Bureau of the Fiscal Service, a decrease in the nowcast of third-quarter real government spending growth from 2.1 percent to 0.8 percent was slightly offset by an increase in the nowcast of third-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth from 9.0 percent to 9.3 percent. Also, the nowcast of the contribution of the change in real net exports to third-quarter real GDP growth decreased from -1.56 percentage points to -1.81 percentage points.
Source: https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow
Go Brandon, Go!
